Partner Content Wild vs. Maple Leafs picks and odds Feb. 24 ...

The Toronto Maple Leafs welcome the Minnesota Wild to Scotiabank Arena for their final home contest before a five-game road trip.

The pregame narrative: Minnesota is one of the best under teams in the NHL, and we’re targeting that wager on Friday night. Toronto’s an excellent home squad and should be able to win at Scotiabank with players like William Nylander continuing their run of strong recent form.

Check out our Wild vs. Maple Leafs picks for February 24.

NHL odds as of 9:55 a.m. on 02/24/2023.

Best Bet : Under 6.5 goals (-125)

Both Minnesota and Toronto are playing solid defensive hockey, putting the under on this total firmly in play.

The Maple Leafs are allowing the 12th-fewest expected goals per 60 (2.71) over the last week, according to Natural Stat Trick. They’re also tied for surrendering the sixth-fewest high-danger chances per 60 (10.33) during the same stretch.

The Wild rank 14th in expected goals against per 60 (2.81) and are conceding the ninth-fewest scoring chances (26.94) across the last seven days. They’ve held opponents to two goals or fewer in five of their last seven outings.

Minnesota’s goaltending strength is another factor working in this wager’s favour. The team ranks second in team save percentage (.958) over the last week and Filip Gustavsson is starting between the pipes.

Gustavsson owns a mouthwatering .928 save percentage this season.

The under on this total has hit in 12 of the last 13 Wild games. Expect another low-scoring affair on Friday.

Key stat: Minnesota has cashed the under at the fourth-highest rate (58.6%) in the NHL this season.

Maple Leafs 60-minute moneyline (-124) : Toronto owns the second-best home record (22-6-4) in the NHL and is entering Friday’s game with the benefit of two days of rest.

The Maple Leafs are an impressive 10-2-3 when enjoying a pair of days off between contests.

The Wild, meanwhile, are an uninspiring 13-11-3 on the road and are playing their second game in as many nights. Minnesota has lost three consecutive games on zero days of rest by a combined margin of 13-3.

Nylander over 3.5 shots (+105) : Few players in the NHL are putting more pucks on net than Nylander recently.

He’s tied for sixth with 16 shots on goal over the last seven days, with all players ahead of him playing in four games while he’s only appeared in three.

Nylander has gone over this mark in five of his last six outings, totalling 30 shots during this stretch.

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